From: http://www.faa.gov/news/updates/?newsId ... id=101_N_U "The FAA currently estimates as many as 7,500 small commercial UAS may be in use by 2018, assuming the necessary regulations are in place." This may help explain why the FAA seems to think that requiring a pilot's license is going to be an easy sell. Are they in for an awakening when their upcoming NPRM will get tens of thousands of comments. kind of reminds me of something Thomas Watson, president of IBM, 1943 said: "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." (No, I wasn't there). Darryl Zanuck, executive at 20th Century Fox, 1946, "Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." Ken Olsen, founder of Digital Equipment Corporation, 1977, "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." (DEC was bought by Compaq in 1998, which was bought by HP in 2002). Robert Metcalfe, founder of 3Com, 1995, "I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft, 2004, "Two years from now, spam will be solved." Bill Gates at an early microcomputer trade show in Seattle in mid 1981. "640K ought to be enough for anybody". (Microsoft denies it, but there are witnesses).